cc                    Indian Institution of Production Engineers

                                                    PUNE SECTION

C/o S.S.Marathe  A-3 “Kuladeep” 41/ 5-AB Erandavan, Pune 411 038

       Phone : 020 25467192   Fax 020 25434832   e-mail :   iipepune@sify.com

Report of Presentation in October, 2005

Birth Anniversary of Dr. W. Edwards Deming.

           

Every year IIPE presentation in October is dedicated to the Philosophy of Dr. W. Edwards Deming because 14th October is his birth anniversary. Like the last few years this year also Mr. Balaji Reddie gave a presentation on Dr. Deming.

 

While introducing Mr. Reddie for the benefit of new members, Mr. Marathe said that he is working with ASHRA Consultants. Mr. Reddie is a thorough ‘Quality Man’ and his inspiration is Dr. Deming.  He has established the Deming Forum of India Mr. Balaji Reddie will tell us some of the things about Dr. Deming which he has earlier told and some new things also. Mr. Marathe appealed to the attendees to pay respect to Dr. Deming who has done wonders in the area of Quality, not only for Japan or America but for the whole world.

 

Dr. W. Edwards Deming

 

Mr. Balaji Reddie told at the beginning that after his graduation at around 1994 he had no idea about Quality he came across this aspect when he was sent to a 5 day course on TQM by Modi Xerox. He said, before that he had also misunderstood Quality as Inspection. During this time Xerox was going through research for their business. Initially they had 90% of the world photocopying machine business and therefore the term ‘Xeroxing’ was popular for photocopying. However when Japanese firm Cannon entered into this market, they acquired 65 to 70% of the world market by 1980 and Xerox had only 20 to 25% market share. The Japanese were selling the machines at the price at which Xerox was manufacturing them. Therefore for survival they wanted to find out how Japanese are manufacturing the machines at such a low cost. Americans wanted to know, ‘If Japan can why can’t we?’ To their surprise they found it is one American who has taught this to Japan. This was the time when Deming was rediscovered in America.

 

Dr. Deming gave first lecture on Quality since people had started associating Quality with Statistical Control. However, Deming used to say that by applying statistical control principles for the improvement of Quality you can do only 3 %. Top management has to take it further and make it successful.  Dr. Deming always used to say you can make a best quality zero defect product but you will  still be out of the business as the product did not have a market. Top management has to produce what customer wants. They should realize that they are here for the sole purpose of serving the customer.

 

Mr. Reddie further said that Deming was of the opinion that shop floor people know their job but top management do not know their job. In a meeting he asked a Vice President of Ford Motor Co., “What is your Job?” The VP said, ‘I am ‘Vice President Manufacturing’. Dr. Deming said, “this is your title. What’s your job?”  And the V.P. couldn’t answer ! Dr. Deming said that top management people do not know their job,  so how do they expect others to know their jobs. He said every body wants to do a good job. What is stopping to fulfill this is top management. They just tell people to do this and that without telling the reason. They should tell, why? Dr. Deming taught Japanese not the methods but the philosophy, a manner of thinking, something that goes beyond the methods. He said a person has to formulate his own philosophy which will teach him to own his problems. Once you own your problems you will be driven by your own philosophy to solve them. 

 

Mr. Reddie then said that the real turnaround point that came into Japan’s history was formation of Japanese Union of Science and Engineering (JUSE). Mr. Reddie asked a question, Who are we as Engineers? And he said , ‘As engineers we are applied scientist’. We APPLY theory.

 

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Theory is given by scientist and as engineers, we apply that theory. Therefore scientist and engineers have to work together. He further mentioned a very common say of most of the engineers here is that ‘We are practical, we do not believe in Theory. We go by practical experience’. However they do not know that when they use practical things they actually use theory.

 

Dr. Deming observed some common elements in different organizations in JUSE and years after he came out with a philosophy what he called as ‘System of Profound Knowledge’.  He often sighted it as the blend with which we view the events around us. When he started conducting seminars he used to say at the beginning of any seminar that, “I am not here to teach you anything new. I am here to make you see things that you normally would not see”. And the Profound Knowledge he said, was a theory of management, a guide with which you can understand the system of organization. He made the participants to see the things differently.

 

System of Profound Knowledge:

 

            Dr. Deming interconnected the four sciences, what he called as

 

  1. Appreciation for a system, a system’s theory.
  2. Understanding of variation.
  3. Understanding of psychology.
  4. Understanding the theory of knowledge.

 

These are very difficult to understand. Dr. Deming has outlined and explained this in his last book called ‘New Economy for the Industry, Government and Education’. This book  is a guide to management.

 

Mr. Reddie then started explaining these sciences one by one.

 

1.Appreciation for a System: In Dr. Deming’s words, A system is a network of interdependent components that works together to achieve the aim of the system. Every system must have an aim. Without an aim there is no system. The ‘Aim’ of a system has to create something of value. The modern business schools define business as, ‘Purpose of business is to create Value/ Satisfaction at a profit.’ In this definition both Value and profit are important and the sequence is also important. It is not either Value or Profit it is Value and Profit. It is the philosophy of ‘And’ and not of ‘Either, or’.

 

If we go through the notes of Dr. Deming on Appreciation of System, he said, when we see a system from outside we see it’s components as they are seen from outside,. We do not know how they are interconnected from inside. Mr. Reddie gave an excellent example of trees in Amazon forest, the roots of which are connected with each other. Therefore even if there is rain only in one part of the forest the trees in the other also grow green. We see trees from outside but we do not see the deeply interconnected roots which keeps the system efficient.

 

Similarly in an organization we do not see interconnected roots when we see the organization from outside. We believe that we are managing the tree but we do not see the roots interconnected deeply inside it.

 

Mr. Reddie told one very interesting thought of Dr. Deming. The analysis of a problem by ‘Fish Bone’ diagram is now known to every body. People try to find the ‘Root cause’. Dr. Deming says there is no such thing as root cause. He says it is the system of interconnected causes that affects the system. It is the system of causes in which one of those causes is predominant. However the other causes are also existing and some other time the next cause becomes predominant and so on. All causes affect each other. He says look at it as the system of interconnected causes and address them. Do not work only on the so called root cause.

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2.Understanding of Variation: Mr. Reddie started discussing the second part of Understanding of Variation. By analyzing the system if you can predict the performance of the process or the system we can manage it by ‘Control Chart’. We need to find whether the process or system operate within the limits or not. This is done by control chart. Every system has fluctuations. How does it fluctuate? Why does it fluctuate? Are there trends? This is called the understanding of fluctuations. Do we have to react with every fluctuation or we can leave it as it is. If it fluctuates beyond the certain limits then we need to act. Dr. Deming did not like the word control chart. The control chart is the invention of Mr. Walter Shewhart. The control chart is based on statistical control of Quality. The Control chart tells us whether the process or the system is in a state of statistical control. Concept of sigma is totally empirical and he proved it by an experiment. While calculating ‘Sigma’ we work on total variation of the process. But Walter Shewhart was looking for common cause variation. The common cause variation gave the idea of range. Using range was the practical kind of approach for understanding variation.

 

Mr. Reddie said that we moved slowly from understanding of the system in to understanding of variation because in the system there are all the components different from one another. Dr. Deming has said that the understanding of the variation has its most powerful application in understanding people. Dr. Deming did not believe in saying that a particular person is below or above average. He says in a system half of the elements will be below average and half of them will be above average, irrespective of the performance of the system.

 

Dr. Deming says in a set of people who are operating the system performance of some of the people will be outstanding while others will be within limit. However if we reward only those persons the performance of others will be affected. Instead if we observe those outstanding performers, you can increase the performance of the entire system and raise the average. This is the job of Managers. While defining the job of the manager Dr, Deming says manager is more of a coach and counsel and not a judge. He thought that judging the performance of person on the scale of 1 to 10 is actually similar to judging Quality by inspection which is not advisable.  It should be like Quality by design, which means you raise the performance of the process such that you get the output. Never remove bottom 10% of the people instead bring them in to the system which will make the system better.  

 

Dr. Deming says every person has different ways of learning. Some people learn by watching, some learn by doing, some understand only written words, while some understand only spoken words and some understand action. Therefore the job of a manager is to understand learning process of each person. Encourage the people to learn. From ancient days we have been told to do things without asking question which kills the person’s natural learning process.

 

While explaining further about understanding variations he said according to Dr. Deming there are two kinds of statistical studies. They are Enumerative Study and Analytical  Study .Most of us are interested in enumerative study. We just are satisfied with nos. graphs and such data. However we do not analytical study. We never analyse the collected data. Therefore Dr. Deming says Control Chart is no substitute for the brain. It merely tells us that there is a story to be told. It is your job to find out that story about how the process is working. You should analyse and act to improve it.

 

Dr. Deming was just not happy to have the process within the limits. He told Japanese that you should not rest at this performance of the system. Keep reducing the effect of the causes and reduce the variations. How? Again go back to the system of causes and take care of all of them which affect each other. Mr. Reddie said that training manuals teach us how to do? They do not tell why? Therefore it is necessary for us to analyse and find the answer to why.  He also criticized on the present trend of number game. At the end of the day we only ask the question how much? Nobody is interested in why and even how we do it?  

 

 

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3  Understanding Theory of Knowledge: Dr. Deming based all his philosophy of theory of knowledge on a philosopher called Mr. C. I. Lewis. Mr. Reddie while explaining the meaning of quality as it was defined by Dr. Deming, said “ A Product or a Service possesses Quality which helps someone live better (Materially and / or otherwise), and enjoys a large and sustainable market” In this definition, ‘helps someone live better’, look at the word better. Better today than yesterday, better tomorrow than today and so on, there is no absolute state of quality. Dr. Deming also mentioned the four prongs of the Quality as

 

·  Innovation in products and Services

·  Innovation of Process

·  Improvement of existing products and services

·  Improvement of Existing Processes

 

Innovating the process, means what? Think of a completely new performance level of the system. You have to expand the boundaries. When you have to innovate you need to expand the market. When you want to compete the person at next door you do not pull him down you expand the market and compete. If you don’t do it someone else will do it. He gave a classic live example of e-mail space availability. Different companies started giving more and more space but Google gave 1 Gb. of space. The market expanded. Something of value is created.  Mr. Reddie asked who got benefited? The answer is, the customer. It helped someone live better. It is relative. It is continuous or continual improvement. Dr. Deming first said, continuous and continual are not same. He asked why? (He always used to answer a question with a question. His idea is, you find the answer. When you find the answer you own it. You learn.)  Continuous means unbroken but continual means unending. It is never ending.

 

While explaining Theory of Knowledge Dr. Deming first defined Theory. A theory is a statement that relates cause to the effect with a risk of being wrong. Whenever we find that the theory which we know is wrong we try to find new things. We ask questions why? We come out with a new theory. These are phases of problem solving or continuous improvement.

 

We must start with a theory. If it fails we must ask, what would have gone wrong? What causes this to happen? Line these questions. Experiment and find the answers. Find out if your prediction meets your actual observation. If not, go through the same cycle again under different conditions. If something goes right, ask why did it go right? If theory is ineffective don’t be shy. Ask again why? That is the opportunity to learn more. This is the basis of continual learning. The failed beliefs gave birth to some beautiful theories.

 

Dr. Deming has said never copy an example. Japanese never copied anything unless they understand the theory. Americans initially started coping blindly, without understanding theory and they failed. For example they copied control chart, they stared using uniforms like Japanese. Nothing happened.  All these are just the part of all things. They never understood. They did not know theory. Japanese experimented and laid down the theory. That is why they are successful. One classic example of this is Toyota Production System. It is the result of years and years of application of theories and experimentation.

 

Mr. Reddie said that there are some companies which are successful in spite of not having these theories. But they may be monopolistic or market demanding kind of position. They could afford to have that. But further he asked, imagine how much better they would have been if they would have adapted these concepts.  On the other hand there are some companies who have adapted these techniques and still not very successful. It may be because they might not have understood that the four sciences are interconnected.

                                                                                   

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Dr. Deming used to say, ‘Every system must have an Aim’. Without aim there is no system. What could be that aim. It is to ‘Create Value’ There is a very good example of one Japanese ship building company. There was I big poster put up there in the company. ‘We shall build Good Ships, at a Profit if we can, at a loss if it is must’ They continued to build good ships at profit. One fine day an American came there he removed that placard. He was only interested in profit. The company did not last much after that.

 

Mr. Reddie told the story of how Just in Time system (JIT) was thought of. It was then when Toyota Motor Co. were going for Deming price the owner Mr. Toyoda used to work till late night. Once he went home very late at about 1 to 1.30 in the night. His mother was waiting for him. She asked him, whether he was hungry?  He said, yes and asked what she can give him to eat? She said whatever he wants. He asked for some typical complicated rice dish. To his surprise she prepared it within 20 minutes and gave him. He was amazed. Next morning when he went back to work he told this story to his colleagues and said this is what I want you to do it for me in this organization. He said I want you to give what our customer wants, the quality he wants and at the time he wants. This is the beginning of JIT. They started this system around 1959 and perfected it in 1989. It took them 30 long years. They started making the process mistake-proof. (Poka Yoke) They started making the changes such that the process does not go wrong. They did this first inside their shops and then they moved back to their suppliers. Because they felt it is not proper to shift our inventory to our suppliers. 

 

Mr. Reddie told one more interesting story about Japanese companies. They buy each other’s shares so that no body will try to pull down another and there will always be an healthy competition. They even share the knowledge. They help each other. This is same as the example of roots of trees in Amazon Jungle which Mr. Reddie gave at the beginning. Toyota took 9 years to perfect the JIT in their own company and took 20 more years to spread successfully out side their company. 

 

Mr. Reddie said that a cigarette lighter holder manufacturing company in Japan also draws control charts like their customer Toyota. Every body works for the perfection. He also told a story written in the book,‘ The Machine that Changed The World’. Toyota manufactured ‘Lexus’ car as a competition to Mercedes Benz. They manufactured an excellent luxury car Lexus and could sell at very less price. People did not accept it as luxury car looking at price. Therefore they sold that at just below Mercedes Benz and made so much money that they could start manufacturing plant for Toyota cars in America. Now they are going to manufacture Jet Engine. They will certainly be successful.

 

According to Dr. Deming Cooperation within the different companies is essential. Cooperation means learning together, sharing knowledge, and sharing technology. Mr. Reddie told a nice example of the cooperation within the companies in the present age. Sony and Philips are joining hands together in the area of electronic devices. Sony is powerful in making the things miniature, compactness and Philips is famous for new technology. Therefore if they join hands they will capture the market. Another example is of Erricson and Sony joining hands for mobile phones.

 

Mr. Deming suggested that if a person arms with four sciences namely system, understanding of variations, understanding psychology of people means understanding of people and understanding of knowledge, he will have a complete knowledge of what is happening around him. This it self is the system of Profound Knowledge. With that the person will start looking the things which normally he would not see. He said all for sciences are important because they are interconnected. He suggested that, do not look whenever you are approaching an event anywhere at home or your workplace you have to have this systemic view or profound view.

When he was asked what he learnt from Japan? He said, ‘People Matter’.

During the last few years of his life Dr. Deming was conducting seminars. In one of such seminars he was very old, weighing only 100 lbs. He was very weak. It was a four days seminar. On the last day in the morning session he was coughing and was given oxygen. He wanted to still continue. When he was asked, why you are punishing yourself? He said I am doing this because I have a responsibility to make the difference. This how he was committed.

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While summarizing on basic philosophy of the theory of knowledge Mr. Reddie reminded about following points : 

 

·  Test the Theory. Which theory does not work, why it does not work? If it works why it works.

·  Do not confuse success with success, keep on trying new things, and keep on expanding market.

·  Understand the people, Understand the learning process of people

·  Processes very. Understand the variation in process, people and the product

·  Think statistically. Do not react to every thing that comes out of the study.

·  Cooperate, learn together, share the knowledge.

 

NEXT MEETING

Day & date :  Wednesday,  November 16,  6.30 p.m.

Venue :  College  of Engineering, Shivajinagar (Workshop)

Topic : Value Engineering

Speaker: Mr. H.C. Soni – Retired from High Explosives Factory

 

 

It is a matter of great sorrow and shock to inform that Mr. Girish G. Gokhale, an IIPE Pune member, lost his life while on vacation during Diwali, on 3rd November.

Mr.Girish Gokhale and his brother-in-law were playing in the sea water near the shore. During the play, Girish  was pulled into the water(reason not known), and he did could not make it back to the shore.  Girish was just 38, and he has left back his mother, wife, and two children.

 

He had done very well during his work at Cummins India Ltd.. He was a Six Sigma Black Belt, and had recently moved from the Six Sigma Team to a new assignment for development of Gas Engines for Automotives, as Gas Auto Leader. Let us all pray for peace to his soul, and strength to his family to bear the grief.



 

 

 

 

 

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